Navigating Interest Rate Uncertainty: When Will BoC Start Cutting Rates?

Person tearing up a sheet of paper that says "interest rates" on it

Canada’s economic landscape has shown signs of cooling off, and all eyes are on the Bank of Canada’s next move. While interest rates are currently stable, changes on the horizon could have a big impact on the real estate market. Here’s what you need to know, and how RE/MAX Success Realty is your go-to resource for staying ahead.

What the Economists Are Saying

This week, the Bank of Canada maintained its overnight rate following less-than-stellar GDP performance and a sluggish labor market. Expert opinions suggest a potential rate cut in the first quarter of 2024. Randall Bartlett, a senior director at Desjardins, expressed confidence in the Bank’s ability to rebalance the Canadian economy.

The Waiting Game

The Bank of Canada appears to be biding its time. Experts like Bartlett expect rate cuts once there’s confirmation that the economy has slowed enough for inflation to safely return to its 2% target.

The Projected Pace of Rate Cuts

Stephen Brown from Capital Economics has a specific forecast: a 50 basis point reduction each quarter of 2024, lowering the policy rate from 5% to 3%. However, for this to happen, several economic indicators need to align, such as weaker GDP growth and softer labor market conditions.

Inflation Fears Linger

The central bank’s communication strategy remains cautious. As Frances Donald pointed out, even if the Bank decides to cut rates, it won’t make this public anytime soon to avoid triggering more inflation. Tiff Macklem, the Bank of Canada Governor, also stated that talking about rate cuts is premature and didn’t rule out future hikes.

How RE/MAX Success Realty Keeps You Ahead

When it comes to understanding these intricate financial landscapes, you need a reliable partner. At RE/MAX Success Realty, we’re dedicated to keeping our clients informed and prepared. Whether you’re buying or selling, our team of experts helps you navigate market uncertainties. Plus, we constantly update you on economic trends that could impact your real estate decisions.


While rate cuts may be on the horizon, nothing is set in stone. Regardless of economic shifts, RE/MAX Success Realty is committed to providing you with the insights and resources you need to make savvy real estate choices.

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